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you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did printout what you said last week in case i needed it. i'll see after election day how close you are. in terms of the storm does that do anything, i think steve hays refered to something like statture gap that he was losing his statture gap. now, this will make him appear more presidential and the opportunity. i don't mean to demean the president or the storm or light of the loss but just the hard reality is that election day is tuesday. >> i think the storm is so big, damage so wide spread and intense, that you know, president is going to, he's hopefully doing his job, what he shoul
you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did...
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you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did printout what you said last week in case i needed it. i'll see after election day how close you are. in terms of the storm does that do anything, i think steve hays refered to something like statture gap that he was losing his statture gap. now, this will make him appear more presidential and the opportunity. i don't mean to demean the president or the storm or light of the loss but just the hard reality is that election day is tuesday. >> i think the storm is so big, damage so wide spread and intense, that you know, president is going to, he's hopefully doing his job, what he shoul
you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did...
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and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in cuyahoga county, between 2004 and 2008 which was a big year for barack obama, cuyahoga county casted less ballots in the election in 2008 than 2004. the relative strength of cuyahoga has dropped to 11% north 13%. >> bill: that's very favorable to barack obama. that's the cleveland area. so, if they are weighting that in a heavy way. >> at 13% instead of 11%. >> bill: it's reality that the vote is dropping there. it's going to be better for romney. >> true. >> bill: do you trust rasmussen, larry? you are pretty outspoken about these polls. remember, scott was on i
and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in...
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if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a margin of error, dana. hold on. dana was around in '08, i'm sorry, back in '04 when the poll said that kerry was going to win in a landslide. didn't happen, did it? >> thank goodness. >> that's right, dana. just think for a second. romney has never been ahead. >> sean: he's ahead now. >> in the real clear politics. >> sean: juan, juan, juan. >> colorado, wisconsin. i can keep going. never, ever. >> sean: listen, you can be as delusional if you want. i absolutely like when you live in denial, but here's the reality, dana. romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll shows romney ah
if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a...
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that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one. obama-biden went up by 7. romney-ryan went up by one. if you look to the other unsure, 25% in early october. now down to 16%. >> bret: put number two up if you can again. >> so things breaking there more for the incumbent than the challenger. overall, what charles is saying is right. generally things break for the channeler. the income intent a known quantity. but not that it completely breaks for the incumbent. so many battleground obama maintains small lead, but maintaining it. but the fear is that romney momentum would carry him to lead in those states. >> bret: steve? >> the ultimate cliche
that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one....
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if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a margin of error, dana. hold on. dana was around in '08, i'm sorry, back in '04 when the poll said that kerry was going to win in a landslide. didn't happen, did it? >> thank goodness. >> that's right, dana. just think for a second. romney has never been ahead. >> sean: he's ahead now. >> in the real clear politics. >> sean: juan, juan, juan. >> colorado, wisconsin. i can keep going. never, ever. >> sean: listen, you can be as delusional if you want. i absolutely like when you live in denial, but here's the reality, dana. romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll shows romney ah
if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a...
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well, a new rasmussen poll of likely voters showing governor romney leading president obama 49% to 47%. now, that is westboun within thn of error. former mississippi governor haley bar bore join barber join. good evening. > >> greta: have you had any further thoughts about the race? >> for my thinking, the biggest change in the race is to obama's favor and that's been this storm, you know. any day that we're not talking about the economy and jobs, that we're not talking about obama's record for debt and deficits, health care, energy, any day we're talking about something else, that's good for obama, and so i will be surprised if he doesn't make a little bit of a comeback here. he's had a prett pretty solid mt for a month. there wasn't anything happehe m. what may stop it is this storm and not so much that the president will do a great job, although i don't have any doubt that he will. mostly what happens right after a terrible storm is we know where i come from, it's the local first responders. it's the firemen, the policeman, the highway patrolmen, the national guardsmen, the mayors,
well, a new rasmussen poll of likely voters showing governor romney leading president obama 49% to 47%. now, that is westboun within thn of error. former mississippi governor haley bar bore join barber join. good evening. > >> greta: have you had any further thoughts about the race? >> for my thinking, the biggest change in the race is to obama's favor and that's been this storm, you know. any day that we're not talking about the economy and jobs, that we're not talking about...
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romney campaign points to new polls in three states that were traditionally democrats leaning obama, and president obama won in 2008: pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. michigan, of course, is romney's native state and polls suggest obama has the lead but mitt romney has closed the gap to the margin of error. obama campaigns scoffs at this and senior obama advisor axelrod said if they lost any of those he would shave off his mustache of 40 years but mitt romney has considered headed there a sign they think the plafield is expanding beyond the seven states that have been hotly contested and present the romney campaign opportunity to put obama on defense and have the offense ease the path to 270. very, very close, six days left, polls suggest everything is tight and no way to know who has the edge. so, no time for napping, either. >>shepard: i was hoping you got a nap while everyone else was working. >>carl: not a chance. romney is staying busy. >>shepard: thank you, carl cameron. massive gridlock around new york city, 4.3 million people use the subways and there is no subway. comm
romney campaign points to new polls in three states that were traditionally democrats leaning obama, and president obama won in 2008: pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. michigan, of course, is romney's native state and polls suggest obama has the lead but mitt romney has closed the gap to the margin of error. obama campaigns scoffs at this and senior obama advisor axelrod said if they lost any of those he would shave off his mustache of 40 years but mitt romney has considered headed there a...
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state for either candidate, you know, obama is still faring pretty well according to the polls. and i guess the big question is how much faith we can put in those polls at this point. jon: so what's up with ohio? why is the president doing so well there? >> i think that the big reason is because the one part of the economy that president obama has really sort of touted is the massive bailout of the auto industry, and if you listen to the ads that are run in ohio which has a lot of auto manufacturing, it almost sounds like president obama's running for president of the auto industry as opposed to president of the united states. he really has brought that home, and i think that that has been as big a reason as any for why his numbers have remained somewhat steady or steadier than in other states. that also, you know, the union support is still -- unions are still pretty powerful in a place like ohio, and i think that that, you know, that is probably helping obama to some degree as well. jon: some interesting numbers. this quinnipiac poll said that three-quarters of the voters roug
state for either candidate, you know, obama is still faring pretty well according to the polls. and i guess the big question is how much faith we can put in those polls at this point. jon: so what's up with ohio? why is the president doing so well there? >> i think that the big reason is because the one part of the economy that president obama has really sort of touted is the massive bailout of the auto industry, and if you listen to the ads that are run in ohio which has a lot of auto...
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we had a rasmussen poll that showed romney up two in ohio on monday and a dispatch poll out of ohio showing it tied up in ohio. team obama tells us you cannot believe these numbers. this is a manipulation by the folks that are on team romney to make us think these states are in play when in fact they are not. how are we to know the truth? >> we are not to know the truth until tuesday, here is the real truth, there is plenty of panic in chicago and boston, both sides here, this is total white knuckle time down to the end, it's what i live for, it's these moments when both campaigns are nervous about what is going on, that makes for good politics. megyn: that's what -- those of us who cover the race, that's when we win. >> exactly. megyn: all right, chris, thank you. >> you bet. megyn: the transit system that brings workers in and out of new york city moves more than 9 million passengers a day, 9 million. and it may be weeks until this is fully restored. we'll show you what that could mean for your bottom line just ahead. plus, the debate over one of the most offensive ads of the campaign sea
we had a rasmussen poll that showed romney up two in ohio on monday and a dispatch poll out of ohio showing it tied up in ohio. team obama tells us you cannot believe these numbers. this is a manipulation by the folks that are on team romney to make us think these states are in play when in fact they are not. how are we to know the truth? >> we are not to know the truth until tuesday, here is the real truth, there is plenty of panic in chicago and boston, both sides here, this is total...
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>> talking about three predominantly blue states won by president obama where the polls have always trended towards democrats this year. not towards mr. romney and the g.o.p. pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. romney's home state. in the last few days, there have been a handful of polls that the gap has narrowed and romney made ground and come within the margin of error in those states and now he has begun to advertise. these are states the obama campaign is very very confident about. david action sell rod said he would shave his mustache off if he lost any of them. that's a staches has had for 40 years. tough hurdle for mr. romney to clear in ohio. in the last 48 hours or so there have been seven polls. all of them have suggested that mr. obama is up within the margin of error by a couple of points on mitt romney. most scenarios, romney can't win without winning here in florida as well as without ohio. so, one of the schools of thought is that the romney camp is trying to hedge against a possible defeat in ohio by expanding the battlefield or trying to into those three blue states. the
>> talking about three predominantly blue states won by president obama where the polls have always trended towards democrats this year. not towards mr. romney and the g.o.p. pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. romney's home state. in the last few days, there have been a handful of polls that the gap has narrowed and romney made ground and come within the margin of error in those states and now he has begun to advertise. these are states the obama campaign is very very confident about....
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coming up we will get to president obama press conference with governor chris christie. we're six days away from the presidential election. where does the race stand? we'll break the poll down, the stat and the strategy down when we come back. ♪ ♪ smoothest riding. it's got the most torque, the smoothest suspension, the best storage, class-leading comfort, and a revolutionary collection of versatile accessories. introducing the all-new, 60 horsepower ranger xp 900, a whole new class of hardest working, smoothest riding. get huge rebates on 2012's and low financing on all models during the polaris factory and loauthorized clearance.dels ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >> dana: welcome back to "the five." talking about the hurricane aftermath and today was unprecedented coop race from governor chris christie and michael bloomberg to president obama. he held a press conference with governor christie as bob mentioned could not have more good things to say about president obama and how the cooperation is working right now. any thoughts on that, bob? >> bob: i have been a critic of christ
coming up we will get to president obama press conference with governor chris christie. we're six days away from the presidential election. where does the race stand? we'll break the poll down, the stat and the strategy down when we come back. ♪ ♪ smoothest riding. it's got the most torque, the smoothest suspension, the best storage, class-leading comfort, and a revolutionary collection of versatile accessories. introducing the all-new, 60 horsepower ranger xp 900, a whole new class of...
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rush said that he agreed to pay the role of greek column for president obama today, referring to that stage set that obama accepted the nomination in denver in 2008 so there has been conservative criticism but on that conference call which just finished which i mentioned, top romney strategists were asked about governor christie and they said, look, he is doing his job. he is running the state of new jersey, and they had a horrific catastrophe and the president is doing his job. they expressed in criticism whatever for anything chris christie has done or anything that president obama has done. >>neil: still you have to wonder, mayor bloomberg turned down an opportunity to tour damaged areas around new york with the president saying it would create more fuss than it was wore, i am paraphrasing. is there anything to that? was it something more sinister that we do not appreciate? >>guest: generally with a big disaster, the president can sometimes stay away for a few days because being the president with all the security and all the advance work that entails, it can be a distraction when
rush said that he agreed to pay the role of greek column for president obama today, referring to that stage set that obama accepted the nomination in denver in 2008 so there has been conservative criticism but on that conference call which just finished which i mentioned, top romney strategists were asked about governor christie and they said, look, he is doing his job. he is running the state of new jersey, and they had a horrific catastrophe and the president is doing his job. they expressed...
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mitt romney has been moving further and further ahead of barak obama in most of the polling. we've got one of the best ads of the campaign, mitt romney specifically goes out and makes a direct appeal to independent voters and it works. let's take a look. >> we have to work on a collaborative basis. look, the reason i'm in this race is there are people that are really hurting today in this country. we face this deficit could crush the future generations and republicans and democrats both love america, but we need to have leadership. leadership in washington that will actually bring people together and get the job done and could not care less if it's a republican or a democrat. i've done it before. i'll do it again. i'm mitt romney. and i approve this message. >> steve: look at that. you got a couple of roman candles there. straight up. >> those are undecided voters and that is the strongest ad that mitt romney has created over the past 30 days. >> steve: because of the bipartisanship thing? >> and getting things done. the idea that you can work together with democrats. how can
mitt romney has been moving further and further ahead of barak obama in most of the polling. we've got one of the best ads of the campaign, mitt romney specifically goes out and makes a direct appeal to independent voters and it works. let's take a look. >> we have to work on a collaborative basis. look, the reason i'm in this race is there are people that are really hurting today in this country. we face this deficit could crush the future generations and republicans and democrats both...
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show a neck and neck race with president obama. john roberts is live this morning in coral garrelses. john, how do you think the storm influenced governor romney's campaigning and the message he is on right now? >> reporter: the influence was actually major yesterday when he set aside his campaign and did a storm relief event. today will be more subtle. he has a full list of campaign events in tampa. he comes to miami. goes to jacksonville later on in the day. here is where the change will be. the message will be about real recovery on day one with, his closing argument. very much focused on the positive. he will not be hitting the president to the same degree as he has in the past because the president still involved in the storm recovery. romney campaign turned what should have been a political event to relief event. governor outside of dayton, thanking them for thinking about fellow americans out there dealing with this terrible storm. >> we won't be able to solve all the problems with our effort this morning though a lot of peo
show a neck and neck race with president obama. john roberts is live this morning in coral garrelses. john, how do you think the storm influenced governor romney's campaigning and the message he is on right now? >> reporter: the influence was actually major yesterday when he set aside his campaign and did a storm relief event. today will be more subtle. he has a full list of campaign events in tampa. he comes to miami. goes to jacksonville later on in the day. here is where the change...